Statistical Postprocessing of Ensemble Forecasts

Written By Stéphane Vannitsem
Statistical Postprocessing of Ensemble Forecasts
  • Publsiher : Elsevier
  • Release : 17 May 2018
  • ISBN : 012812248X
  • Pages : 362 pages
  • Rating : 4/5 from 21 reviews
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Read or download book entitled Statistical Postprocessing of Ensemble Forecasts written by Stéphane Vannitsem which was release on 17 May 2018, this book published by Elsevier. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle Format. Book excerpt: Statistical Postprocessing of Ensemble Forecasts brings together chapters contributed by international subject-matter experts describing the current state of the art in the statistical postprocessing of ensemble forecasts. The book illustrates the use of these methods in several important applications including weather, hydrological and climate forecasts, and renewable energy forecasting. After an introductory section on ensemble forecasts and prediction systems, the second section of the book is devoted to exposition of the methods available for statistical postprocessing of ensemble forecasts: univariate and multivariate ensemble postprocessing are first reviewed by Wilks (Chapters 3), then Schefzik and Möller (Chapter 4), and the more specialized perspective necessary for postprocessing forecasts for extremes is presented by Friederichs, Wahl, and Buschow (Chapter 5). The second section concludes with a discussion of forecast verification methods devised specifically for evaluation of ensemble forecasts (Chapter 6 by Thorarinsdottir and Schuhen). The third section of this book is devoted to applications of ensemble postprocessing. Practical aspects of ensemble postprocessing are first detailed in Chapter 7 (Hamill), including an extended and illustrative case study. Chapters 8 (Hemri), 9 (Pinson and Messner), and 10 (Van Schaeybroeck and Vannitsem) discuss ensemble postprocessing specifically for hydrological applications, postprocessing in support of renewable energy applications, and postprocessing of long-range forecasts from months to decades. Finally, Chapter 11 (Messner) provides a guide to the ensemble-postprocessing software available in the R programming language, which should greatly help readers implement many of the ideas presented in this book. Edited by three experts with strong and complementary expertise in statistical postprocessing of ensemble forecasts, this book assesses the new and rapidly developing field of ensemble forecast postprocessing as an extension of the use of statistical corrections to traditional deterministic forecasts. Statistical Postprocessing of Ensemble Forecasts is an essential resource for researchers, operational practitioners, and students in weather, seasonal, and climate forecasting, as well as users of such forecasts in fields involving renewable energy, conventional energy, hydrology, environmental engineering, and agriculture. Consolidates, for the first time, the methodologies and applications of ensemble forecasts in one succinct place Provides real-world examples of methods used to formulate forecasts Presents the tools needed to make the best use of multiple model forecasts in a timely and efficient manner

Statistical Postprocessing of Ensemble Forecasts

Statistical Postprocessing of Ensemble Forecasts
  • Author : Stéphane Vannitsem,Daniel S. Wilks,Jakob Messner
  • Publisher : Elsevier
  • Release Date : 2018-05-17
  • Total pages : 362
  • ISBN : 012812248X
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Summary : Statistical Postprocessing of Ensemble Forecasts brings together chapters contributed by international subject-matter experts describing the current state of the art in the statistical postprocessing of ensemble forecasts. The book illustrates the use of these methods in several important applications including weather, hydrological and climate forecasts, and renewable energy forecasting. After ...

Advanced Statistical Post processing of Ensemble Weather Forecasts

Advanced Statistical Post processing of Ensemble Weather Forecasts
  • Author : S. Allen
  • Publisher : Unknown
  • Release Date : 2021
  • Total pages : 212
  • ISBN : 012812248X
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Summary : Download or read online Advanced Statistical Post processing of Ensemble Weather Forecasts written by S. Allen, published by which was released on 2021. Get Advanced Statistical Post processing of Ensemble Weather Forecasts Books now! Available in PDF, ePub and Kindle....

Hydraulic and Civil Engineering Technology VI

Hydraulic and Civil Engineering Technology VI
  • Author : M. Yang,J.C.G. Lanzinha,X. Bao
  • Publisher : IOS Press
  • Release Date : 2021-11-09
  • Total pages : 746
  • ISBN : 012812248X
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Summary : New technologies, such as improved testing and physical modeling methods, together with numerical studies and other novel techniques, have led to many developments in the fields of hydraulic and civil engineering in recent years. This book presents proceedings from HCET 2021, the 6th International Technical Conference on Frontiers of Hydraulic and ...

Statistical Methods for Post processing Ensemble Weather Forecasts

Statistical Methods for Post processing Ensemble Weather Forecasts
  • Author : Robin Mark Williams
  • Publisher : Unknown
  • Release Date : 2016
  • Total pages : 212
  • ISBN : 012812248X
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Summary : Download or read online Statistical Methods for Post processing Ensemble Weather Forecasts written by Robin Mark Williams, published by which was released on 2016. Get Statistical Methods for Post processing Ensemble Weather Forecasts Books now! Available in PDF, ePub and Kindle....

Proceedings of the European Conference on Complex Systems 2012

Proceedings of the European Conference on Complex Systems 2012
  • Author : Thomas Gilbert,Markus Kirkilionis,Gregoire Nicolis
  • Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
  • Release Date : 2013-08-15
  • Total pages : 1096
  • ISBN : 012812248X
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Summary : The European Conference on Complex Systems, held under the patronage of the Complex Systems Society, is an annual event that has become the leading European conference devoted to complexity science. ECCS'12, its ninth edition, took place in Brussels, during the first week of September 2012. It gathered about 650 scholars representing a ...

Statistical Methods in the Atmospheric Sciences

Statistical Methods in the Atmospheric Sciences
  • Author : Daniel S. Wilks
  • Publisher : Elsevier
  • Release Date : 2019-06-09
  • Total pages : 840
  • ISBN : 012812248X
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Summary : Statistical Methods in the Atmospheric Sciences, Fourth Edition, continues the tradition of trying to meet the needs of students, researchers and operational practitioners. This updated edition not only includes expanded sections built upon the strengths of the prior edition, but also provides new content where there have been advances in ...

Hydrometeorology

Hydrometeorology
  • Author : Kevin Sene
  • Publisher : Springer
  • Release Date : 2015-12-09
  • Total pages : 427
  • ISBN : 012812248X
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Summary : This second edition explores some of the latest techniques used to provide forecasts for a wide range of water-related applications in areas such as floods, droughts, water resources and environmental impacts. The practical uses can range from decisions on whether to issue a flood warning through to providing longer-term advice ...

DAGStat 2022

DAGStat 2022
  • Author : DAGStat (Deutsche Arbeitsgemeinschaft Statistik)
  • Publisher : Cuvillier Verlag
  • Release Date : 2022-03-16
  • Total pages : 192
  • ISBN : 012812248X
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Summary : Das Buch enthält die Abstracts der eingeladenen bzw. angenommenen Vorträge der 6. Konferenz der Deutschen Arbeitsgemeinschaft Statistik (DAGStat), welche vom 28. März bis 1. April 2022 am Universitätsklinikum Hamburg-Eppendorf (UKE) in Kooperation mit der Universität Hamburg sowie der Helmut-Schmidt-Universität stattfand. Die Konferenz stellte ebenfalls das 68. Biometrische Kolloquium der ...

Proceedings of the 6th International Workshop on Hydro Scheduling in Competitive Electricity Markets

Proceedings of the 6th International Workshop on Hydro Scheduling in Competitive Electricity Markets
  • Author : Arild Helseth
  • Publisher : Springer
  • Release Date : 2018-10-31
  • Total pages : 85
  • ISBN : 012812248X
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Summary : This book includes a collection of research articles presented at the “6th International Workshop on Hydro Scheduling in Competitive Electricity Markets”. The workshop was a unique and intimate forum for researchers and practitioners to present state-of-the-art research and development concerning novel methodological findings, best practices and real-life applications of hydro ...

Solar Energy Forecasting and Resource Assessment

Solar Energy Forecasting and Resource Assessment
  • Author : Jan Kleissl
  • Publisher : Academic Press
  • Release Date : 2013-06-25
  • Total pages : 462
  • ISBN : 012812248X
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Summary : Solar Energy Forecasting and Resource Assessment is a vital text for solar energy professionals, addressing a critical gap in the core literature of the field. As major barriers to solar energy implementation, such as materials cost and low conversion efficiency, continue to fall, issues of intermittency and reliability have come ...

Completing the Forecast

Completing the Forecast
  • Author : National Research Council,Division on Earth and Life Studies,Board on Atmospheric Sciences and Climate,Committee on Estimating and Communicating Uncertainty in Weather and Climate Forecasts
  • Publisher : National Academies Press
  • Release Date : 2006-11-09
  • Total pages : 124
  • ISBN : 012812248X
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Summary : Uncertainty is a fundamental characteristic of weather, seasonal climate, and hydrological prediction, and no forecast is complete without a description of its uncertainty. Effective communication of uncertainty helps people better understand the likelihood of a particular event and improves their ability to make decisions based on the forecast. Nonetheless, for ...

Combining Spatial Statistical and Ensemble Information in Probabilistic Weather Forecasts

Combining Spatial Statistical and Ensemble Information in Probabilistic Weather Forecasts
  • Author : Anonim
  • Publisher : Unknown
  • Release Date : 2006
  • Total pages : 32
  • ISBN : 012812248X
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Summary : Forecast ensembles typically show a spread-skill relationship, but they are also often underdispersive, and therefore uncalibrated. Bayesian model averaging (BMA) is a statistical postprocessing method for forecast ensembles that generates calibrated probabilistic forecast products for weather quantities at individual sites. This paper introduces the Spatial BMA technique, which combines BMA ...

Statistical Post Processing Methods And Their Implementation On The Ensemble Prediction Systems For Forecasting Temperature In The Use Of The French Electric Consumption

Statistical Post Processing Methods And Their Implementation On The Ensemble Prediction Systems For Forecasting Temperature In The Use Of The French Electric Consumption
  • Author : Adriana Geanina Gogonel
  • Publisher : Unknown
  • Release Date : 2012
  • Total pages : 142
  • ISBN : 012812248X
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Summary : The thesis has for objective to study new statistical methods to correct temperature predictionsthat may be implemented on the ensemble prediction system (EPS) of Meteo France so toimprove its use for the electric system management, at EDF France. The EPS of Meteo Francewe are working on contains 51 members (forecasts by ...

Parameterization Schemes

Parameterization Schemes
  • Author : David J. Stensrud
  • Publisher : Cambridge University Press
  • Release Date : 2007-05-03
  • Total pages : 459
  • ISBN : 012812248X
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Summary : Reference on numerical weather prediction for academic researchers, meteorologists, and graduate students....

Statistical Methods in the Atmospheric Sciences

Statistical Methods in the Atmospheric Sciences
  • Author : Daniel S. Wilks
  • Publisher : Academic Press
  • Release Date : 2011-07-04
  • Total pages : 704
  • ISBN : 012812248X
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Summary : Statistical Methods in the Atmospheric Sciences, Third Edition, explains the latest statistical methods used to describe, analyze, test, and forecast atmospheric data. This revised and expanded text is intended to help students understand and communicate what their data sets have to say, or to make sense of the scientific literature ...